CAN he hold on or is he gone?
That's the big question in Buderim ahead of the November 25 poll with sitting Member Steve Dickson attempting to hold on after trading his secure position in a safe LNP seat for the tenuous benefits of One Nation state leadership.
The former LNP Newman Government Cabinet member jumped ship at the start of the year in the process putting at risk a position in Parliament that was otherwise assured for at least the next term of government and potentially longer.
The box seat in Buderim has been passed to new LNP candidate Brent Mickelberg, the son of the party's Sunshine Coast chairman Graham Mickelberg.
The election would be a test of Mr Dickson's personal popularity with voters and the LNP's chances state wide.
If the One Nation convert can hang on the LNP will be in trouble across the state when counting starts.
Buderim's boundaries contracted in the latest distribution largely because it has become the most densely populated part of the Sunshine Coast.
The seat is now bounded to the south by the Mooloolah River, to the west by the Bruce Highway, the Sunshine Motorway to the east and Jones, Lindsay and Sawreys roads to the north.
It covers the communities of Buderim, Mons, Tanawha and Mountain Creek and has attracted a four-candidate field including Mr Dickson, Mr Mickelberg, Labor's Ken Mackenzie and Tracy Burton for The Greens.
In 2015 despite a massive swing against the Newman Government Mr Dickson secured 52.62% of the primary vote well clear of his nearest rival Labor's Elaine Hughes with 22.8%.
However the result represented nearly a 10% fall from the 62.17% primary vote in 2012 that secured him a Cabinet seat as Minister for National Parks, Recreation, Sport and Racing.
Mr Mickelberg served in the Australian military for 13 years with time in East Timor and Afghanistan. He is a father-of-two and has lived at Buderim for the past three years working as a financial planning consultant for the ANZ Bank in Maroochydore.
Ms Burton is a high school teacher in the private education as well as producing an education podcast.
She has lived on the Sunshine Coast for the past 10 years and has been an active participant in Australia and internationally in a number of environmental projects.
Labor's candidate Ken Mackenzie has a science degree, is married and lives in Buderim with his wife, and has worked as local government bureaucracy at Logan City and Brisbane City Councils.
The candidates will front Buderim voters at a forum organised by the Sippy Downs and District Community Association in the Chancellor Park Primary School Hall next Wednesday (November 15) from 7-9pm.
They will each be asked four set questions selected from submissions made to the association's email address at email@example.com as well as questions from the floor.
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